Will Eli Lilly say “Headwind”?
Eli Lilly did not say “Headwind” on its Aug 5, 2026 call (FY26 Q2); it said it on 4 of its last 8 calls: 1, 1, 0, 1, 0, 0, 1, 0 times. As of Oct 23, 2026, Eli Lilly said “Headwind” on 1 of 2 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 30, 2026 (50%), most recently on Apr 30, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 32% (n=2, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
- Market
- 43¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Eli Lilly
Headwind
- Probability
- 32% · n=2
- Settled
- 1/2 (50%)
- Last calls
- said in 4 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator
1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
We still expect price to be a headwind in the low to mid-teens for the full year. We expect our non-GAAP performance margin to be…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A); 2 by speakers the rule does not count.
…negatively impact Zepbound prescriptions during July and expect it to be a headwind to the rate of volume growth in Q3. We remain confident in…
…are just a replacement for that compounding channel, and they'll keep that headwind alive even if compounders get shut down. And we're talking about a…
Not counted under the usual rule (company speakers + operator); this word was not listed here.
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…continue. At the portfolio level, we anticipate foreign exchange to be a headwind as the dollar has strengthened relative to other currencies. In addition, we…
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How many times did Eli Lilly say “Headwind” on its last earnings call?
- Eli Lilly did not say “Headwind” on its Aug 5, 2026 call (FY26 Q2); it said it on 4 of its last 8 calls: 1, 1, 0, 1, 0, 0, 1, 0 times.
- How often does Eli Lilly say “Headwind”?
- As of Oct 23, 2026, Eli Lilly said “Headwind” on 1 of 2 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 30, 2026 (50%), most recently on Apr 30, 2026.
- What is the probability Eli Lilly says “Headwind” next time?
- 32%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “Eli Lilly: ‘Headwind’ mention history”, as of Oct 23, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/LLY/words/headwind (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=eli-lilly&word=headwind · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=eli-lilly&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP