Will Eli Lilly say “Tailwind”?

Eli Lilly did not say “Tailwind” on its Aug 5, 2026 call (FY26 Q2); it said it on 3 of its last 8 calls: 4, 1, 0, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0 times. As of Oct 23, 2026, Eli Lilly did not say “Tailwind” on any of the 2 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 30, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 17% (n=2, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

17%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=2Next: Earnings call, Oct 29, 2026 · counts: company speakers + operator
Last 10
0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no
Streak
not said the last 2 times
Counts
company speakers + operator
Market
29¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Eli Lilly

Tailwind

Probability
17% · n=2
Settled
0/2 (0%)
Last calls
said in 3 of 8

Next listing counts: company speakers + operator

FY26 Q2 earnings call, Aug 5, 2026 · not said

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FY26 Q1 earnings call, Apr 30, 2026 · not said

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FY25 Q4 earnings call, Feb 4, 2026 · not said

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FY25 Q3 earnings call, Oct 30, 2025 · not said

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FY25 Q2 earnings call, Aug 7, 2025 · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

Lucas E. MontarcecompanypreparedIn transcript

…billion and $62 billion. This range reflects the strong performance and a tailwind from foreign exchange rates. We will continue to invest to support our…

FY25 Q1 earnings call, May 1, 2025 · not said

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FY24 Q4 earnings call, Feb 6, 2025 · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

David RickscompanypreparedIn transcript

…indications, new manufacturing capacities, new access opportunities and new markets are all tailwinds to our financial performance. We made significant advances across our pipeline in…

FY24 Q3 earnings call, Oct 30, 2024 · said 4 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

4 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 3 in Q&A).

Lucas MontarcecompanypreparedIn transcript

…us to fulfill the majority of wholesalers back orders, serving as a tailwind to sales. In Q3, we saw channel inventory decreased as wholesalers continued…

Jacob Van NaardencompanyqaIn transcript

…cap on patients, and particularly in Medicare where that could be a tailwind on the brand. I think it's hard to know exactly where that…

Every match in the transcript

Every settled listing

newest first · 2 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Aug 5, 2026TailwindKalshiNo0
Apr 30, 2026TailwindKalshiNo0

Questions

How many times did Eli Lilly say “Tailwind” on its last earnings call?
Eli Lilly did not say “Tailwind” on its Aug 5, 2026 call (FY26 Q2); it said it on 3 of its last 8 calls: 4, 1, 0, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0 times.
How often does Eli Lilly say “Tailwind”?
As of Oct 23, 2026, Eli Lilly did not say “Tailwind” on any of the 2 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 30, 2026.
What is the probability Eli Lilly says “Tailwind” next time?
17%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.

Cite parrot.markets, “Eli Lilly: ‘Tailwind’ mention history”, as of Oct 23, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/LLY/words/tailwind (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=eli-lilly&word=tailwind · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=eli-lilly&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP