Eli Lilly (LLY): FY26 Q2 earnings call, Aug 5, 2026

On its Aug 5, 2026 earnings call (FY26 Q2), Eli Lilly said 5 of the 15 words Kalshi listed; Parrot’s count agreed with all 15 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each, with timed clips.

Updated

Markets

15 words · 5 settled yes · our count agreed on 15 of 15

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, our count under the market rule, the count over every speaker, whether they agree, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultOur countAll speakersAgreesProbabilityClipMarket
Foundayo Yes2431✓83%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcriptsHear it 2:12, Foundayo–
Inluriyo Yes55✓68%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcriptsHear it 9:16, Inluriyo–
LillyDirect Yes44✓90%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcriptsHear it 30:48, LillyDirect–
China Yes44✓90%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcriptsHear it 8:16, China–
Alzheimer Yes11✓86%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcriptsHear it 10:03, Alzheimer–
Vial No00✓91%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Headwind No00✓56%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Ventyx No00✓54%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
AI / Artificial Intelligence No00✓37%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Novo Nordisk No02✓35%transcripts from the transcript model–
Nvidia No00✓30%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Tariff No00✓29%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Tailwind No00✓26%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Walmart No00✓19%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Pennsylvania No00✓11%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

quotes of at most 25 words

Speaker-labelled transcript · Source and credits · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.

1 match for “Lebanon”; 1 quoted, at least 25 words apart.

Dave Rickscompanyprepared · 4:21Hear it 4:15, Dave Ricks

…manufacturing build-out and opened our first dedicated genetic medicine manufacturing facility in Lebanon, Indiana. We also produced the first batch of commercial material at our…

Where the listed words were said

Dave Rickscompany“Foundayo” · prepared · 2:14Hear it 2:14, Dave Ricks

…portfolio. The number of people taking incretins grew, and Lilly's portfolio of medicines extended its leadership position. The U.S. Foundayo launch continued to build momentum.

Lucas Montarcecompany“Inluriyo” · prepared · 9:18Hear it 9:18, Lucas Montarce

…potential to be a foundational therapy across multiple settings and regimens within CLL. INLURIYO continued strong uptake in the metastatic breast cancer oral SERD market.

Ilya Yuffacompany“LillyDirect” · qa · 30:50Hear it 30:46, Ilya Yuffa

…to treat obesity. We continue to look for ways to expand our LillyDirect offering and make it easy for people to get access to care.

Lucas Montarcecompany“China” · prepared · 8:18Hear it 8:17, Lucas Montarce

…revenue grew 30% in constant currency, driven by MOUNJARO and KISUNLA. In China, revenue grew by 93% in constant currency, driven by the uptake of…

Lucas Montarcecompany“Alzheimer” · prepared · 10:05Hear it 10:01, Lucas Montarce

…to Q2 2025. This is translating to more people being diagnosed with Alzheimer's disease and accessing treatment. Outside the U.S., solid performance in China and…

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/eli-lilly:2026-08-05:earnings_call · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=eli-lilly:2026-08-05:earnings_call · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP