Morgan Stanley (MS): FY26 Q2 earnings call, Jul 15, 2026
On its Jul 15, 2026 earnings call (FY26 Q2), Morgan Stanley said 2 of the 14 words Kalshi listed; Parrot’s count agreed with all 14 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each, with timed clips.
UpdatedMarkets
14 words · 2 settled yes · our count agreed on 14 of 14- Kalshi: company speakers + operator
Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Clip | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Investment Grade | Yes | 3 | 3 | ✓ | 57%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | Hear it 9:47, Investment Grade | – |
| Tailwind | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 53%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | Hear it 10:46, Tailwind | – |
| Private Credit | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 81%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – | |
| Basel | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 68%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – | |
| Zero Hash | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 66%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – | |
| Private Market | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 64%transcripts from the transcript model | – | |
| Tokenized / Tokenization | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 49%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – | |
| Buyback | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 48%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – | |
| Headwind | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 40%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – | |
| Middle East / Iran | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 36%transcripts from the transcript model | – | |
| Tariff | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 31%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – | |
| Recession | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 29%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – | |
| Galaxy Digital | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 15%transcripts from the transcript model | – | |
| Oil | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 12%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsSpeaker-labelled transcript · Source and credits · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.
4 matches for “Parametric”; 2 quoted, at least 25 words apart.
…reaching $2 trillion. This business remains a diversified source of strength, with Parametric as an important differentiator of the integrated firm. The four pillars of…
…for the quarter, driven by ongoing demand for alternatives and solutions, including Parametric, as well as our fixed income strategies. Parametric remains a key differentiator,…
Where the listed words were said
…underwriting revenues were a record $788 million, driven by bond issuance across non-investment grade and investment-grade companies. Issuers took advantage of favorable spread environment and…
…activity extending across the region. Active markets and technology trends serve as tailwinds, and our multi-year investments in our global franchise allowed us to prosecute…
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/morgan-stanley:2026-07-15:earnings_call · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=morgan-stanley:2026-07-15:earnings_call · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP