Will Morgan Stanley say “Tariff”?
Morgan Stanley did not say “Tariff” on its Oct 14, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 2 of its last 8 calls: 0, 2, 3, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Morgan Stanley did not say “Tariff” on any of the 2 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 15, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 15% (n=2, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Morgan Stanley
Tariff
- Probability
- 15% · n=2
- Settled
- 0/2 (0%)
- Last calls
- said in 2 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
3 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 2 in Q&A); 2 by speakers the rule does not count.
…market -- excuse me, as the business actively supported clients, particularly around tariff-related market events, during the period. Fixed Income revenues were $2.2 billion, driven…
…the, just to use the word cadence again, if the cadence of tariff policy execution is such that it is viewed to be sort of…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
2 counted (2 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.
…providing opportunities for our business to capture share during the quarter. With tariff announcements and subsequent market volatility, excuse me, while tariff announcements and subsequent…
…were the next earnings call, we're still discussing what's gonna happen with tariffs, is it kinda you know, do you have to think about rightsizing?…
Not counted under the usual rule (company speakers + operator); this word was not listed here.
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How many times did Morgan Stanley say “Tariff” on its last earnings call?
- Morgan Stanley did not say “Tariff” on its Oct 14, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 2 of its last 8 calls: 0, 2, 3, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0 times.
- How often does Morgan Stanley say “Tariff”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Morgan Stanley did not say “Tariff” on any of the 2 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 15, 2026.
- What is the probability Morgan Stanley says “Tariff” next time?
- 15%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “Morgan Stanley: ‘Tariff’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/MS/words/tariff (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=morgan-stanley&word=tariff · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=morgan-stanley&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP