Will Morgan Stanley say “Middle East / Iran”?
Morgan Stanley said “Middle East / Iran” 2 times on its Oct 14, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on 2 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 0, 2 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Morgan Stanley said “Middle East / Iran” on 1 of 2 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jul 15, 2026 (50%), most recently on Oct 14, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 47% (n=2, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
- Market
- 52¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Morgan Stanley
Middle East / Iran
- Probability
- 47% · n=2
- Settled
- 1/2 (50%)
- Last calls
- said in 2 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator
2 counted (2 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…Labor Day approached, we observed the headwinds of renewed tensions in the Middle East and higher interest rates globally as central banks moved to keep…
…in. In the glass is half empty camp, persisting conflicts in the Middle East and Ukraine, meaningfully higher benchmark interest rates and energy prices around…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…AI at the enterprise level, and the ongoing military conflict in the Middle East. Against this backdrop, our approach is one of measured confidence. Our…
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | Middle East / Iran |  Kalshi | Yes | 2 |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Middle East / Iran | Kalshi | No | 0 |
Questions
- How many times did Morgan Stanley say “Middle East / Iran” on its last earnings call?
- Morgan Stanley said “Middle East / Iran” 2 times on its Oct 14, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on 2 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 0, 2 times.
- How often does Morgan Stanley say “Middle East / Iran”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Morgan Stanley said “Middle East / Iran” on 1 of 2 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jul 15, 2026 (50%), most recently on Oct 14, 2026.
- What is the probability Morgan Stanley says “Middle East / Iran” next time?
- 47%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “Morgan Stanley: ‘Middle East / Iran’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/MS/words/iran-or-middle-east (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=morgan-stanley&word=iran%20%2F%20middle%20east · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=morgan-stanley&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP