Will Morgan Stanley say “Recession”?
Morgan Stanley did not say “Recession” on its Oct 14, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 2 of its last 8 calls: 0, 2, 0, 2, 0, 0, 0, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Morgan Stanley did not say “Recession” on any of the 3 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 15, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 13% (n=3, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 0/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 3 times
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Morgan Stanley
Recession
- Probability
- 13% · n=3
- Settled
- 0/3 (0%)
- Last calls
- said in 2 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
2 counted (2 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…deleveraging event or just lower let's say, there's a a sort of recession scare and the markets are lower, well, definition, the financing revenues will…
…have lower asset prices, and deleveraging and credit spreads widen because there's recession concern, or an inflation scare, my guess is markets businesses generally are…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
2 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).
…assessments of different policy outcomes. Economists are telling us the risk of recession has materially increased, but the consensus today is softer, not negative growth.…
…and months to come. But we are still we'll call it, cautiously optimistic. That we won't go into recession. And we will just keep going.
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How many times did Morgan Stanley say “Recession” on its last earnings call?
- Morgan Stanley did not say “Recession” on its Oct 14, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 2 of its last 8 calls: 0, 2, 0, 2, 0, 0, 0, 0 times.
- How often does Morgan Stanley say “Recession”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Morgan Stanley did not say “Recession” on any of the 3 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 15, 2026.
- What is the probability Morgan Stanley says “Recession” next time?
- 13%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “Morgan Stanley: ‘Recession’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/MS/words/recession (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=morgan-stanley&word=recession · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=morgan-stanley&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP