Will Morgan Stanley say “Basel”?

Morgan Stanley did not say “Basel” on its Oct 14, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 3 of its last 8 calls: 0, 1, 0, 1, 0, 4, 0, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Morgan Stanley said “Basel” on 1 of 3 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 15, 2026 (33%), most recently on Apr 15, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 37% (n=3, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

37%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=3Next: Earnings call, Jan 14, 2027 · counts: company speakers + operator
Last 10
1/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no
Streak
not said the last 2 times
Counts
company speakers + operator
Market
26¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Morgan Stanley

Basel

Probability
37% · n=3
Settled
1/3 (33%)
Last calls
said in 3 of 8

Next listing counts: company speakers + operator

FY26 Q3 earnings call, Oct 14, 2026 · not said

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FY26 Q2 earnings call, Jul 15, 2026 · not said

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FY26 Q1 earnings call, Apr 15, 2026 · said 4 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator

4 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 3 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.

Ted PickcompanypreparedIn transcript

…and balance as we move through rulemaking comments toward the finalization of Basel. It's worth noting that over the last nine quarters, we've accreted $15…

Sharon YeshayacompanyqaIn transcript

…think about. One, the models that obviously we've put comments in. Two, Basel, and three, G-SIB. First taking G-SIB, since that's the most obvious quantitative…

Every match in the transcript

FY25 Q4 earnings call, Jan 15, 2026 · not said

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FY25 Q3 earnings call, Oct 15, 2025 · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

Sharon Yeshayacompanyprepared · 1:02:54Hear it 1:02:52, Sharon Yeshaya In transcript

…gonna help us understand. Base RWA or trust RWAs You think about Basel, that will help us understand what is base RWAs, then you have…

FY25 Q2 earnings call, Jul 16, 2025 · not said

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FY25 Q1 earnings call, Apr 11, 2025 · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

1 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).

Ted Pickcompanyqa · 41:51Hear it 41:45, Ted Pick In transcript

…that we have sort of endured whether it's GSIB or CCAR LCR, Basel III, Endgame, the entire panoply of acronyms, the SLR reform might be…

FY24 Q4 earnings call, Jan 16, 2025 · not said

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Every settled listing

newest first · 3 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Oct 14, 2026BaselKalshiNo0
Jul 15, 2026BaselKalshiNo0
Apr 15, 2026BaselKalshiYes4

Questions

How many times did Morgan Stanley say “Basel” on its last earnings call?
Morgan Stanley did not say “Basel” on its Oct 14, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 3 of its last 8 calls: 0, 1, 0, 1, 0, 4, 0, 0 times.
How often does Morgan Stanley say “Basel”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Morgan Stanley said “Basel” on 1 of 3 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 15, 2026 (33%), most recently on Apr 15, 2026.
What is the probability Morgan Stanley says “Basel” next time?
37%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.

Cite parrot.markets, “Morgan Stanley: ‘Basel’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/MS/words/basel (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=morgan-stanley&word=basel · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=morgan-stanley&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP