Will Morgan Stanley say “Headwind”?

Morgan Stanley said “Headwind” 2 times on its Oct 14, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on 4 of its last 8 calls: 1, 0, 1, 0, 3, 0, 0, 2 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Morgan Stanley did not say “Headwind” on any of the 2 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 15, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 47% (n=2, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

47%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=2counts: company speakers + operator
Last 10
0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no
Streak
not said the last 2 times
Counts
company speakers + operator
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Morgan Stanley

Headwind

Probability
47% · n=2
Settled
0/2 (0%)
Last calls
said in 4 of 8

Next listing counts: company speakers + operator

FY26 Q3 earnings call, Oct 14, 2026 · said 2 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

2 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).

Ted Pickcompanyprepared · 3:19Hear it 3:15, Ted Pick In transcript

…the AI ecosystem. In contrast, as Labor Day approached, we observed the headwinds of renewed tensions in the Middle East and higher interest rates globally…

Ted Pickcompanyqa · 1:06:36Hear it 1:06:35, Ted Pick In transcript

…brought to bear is the utter stability of this business. Against some headwinds and crosswinds, these folks are generating efficient returns on capital and $2…

FY26 Q2 earnings call, Jul 15, 2026 · not said

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FY26 Q1 earnings call, Apr 15, 2026 · not said

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FY25 Q4 earnings call, Jan 15, 2026 · said 3 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

3 counted (3 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

Ted Pickcompanyprepared · 2:41Hear it 2:39, Ted Pick In transcript

…blueprint for Morgan Stanley's success. We expect this mix of tailwinds and headwinds to prevail in 2026 and are prepared to continue to execute. We…

Ted Pickcompanyprepared · 4:54Hear it 4:48, Ted Pick In transcript

…observed in the opening, there are both macroeconomic and geopolitical tailwinds and headwinds. And in our view, while we are happy to have reached many…

Every match in the transcript

FY25 Q3 earnings call, Oct 15, 2025 · not said

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FY25 Q2 earnings call, Jul 16, 2025 · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

Sharon Yeshayacompanyprepared · 14:22Hear it 14:16, Sharon Yeshaya In transcript

…in the quarter of $59 billion were inclusive of a $22 billion headwind from tax outflows and reflect growth across channels. Adviser-led flows were particularly…

FY25 Q1 earnings call, Apr 11, 2025 · not said

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FY24 Q4 earnings call, Jan 16, 2025 · said 1 time (counts)

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Every settled listing

newest first · 2 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Jul 15, 2026HeadwindKalshiNo0
Apr 15, 2026HeadwindKalshiNo0

Questions

How many times did Morgan Stanley say “Headwind” on its last earnings call?
Morgan Stanley said “Headwind” 2 times on its Oct 14, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on 4 of its last 8 calls: 1, 0, 1, 0, 3, 0, 0, 2 times.
How often does Morgan Stanley say “Headwind”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Morgan Stanley did not say “Headwind” on any of the 2 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 15, 2026.
What is the probability Morgan Stanley says “Headwind” next time?
47%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.

Cite parrot.markets, “Morgan Stanley: ‘Headwind’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/MS/words/headwind (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=morgan-stanley&word=headwind · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=morgan-stanley&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP