Morgan Stanley (MS): FY26 Q2 earnings call, Jul 15, 2026
On its Jul 15, 2026 earnings call (FY26 Q2), Morgan Stanley said 2 of the 14 words Kalshi listed; Parrot’s count agreed with all 14 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each, with timed clips.
UpdatedMarkets
14 words · 2 settled yes · our count agreed on 14 of 14- Kalshi: company speakers + operator
Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Clip | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Investment Grade | Yes | 3 | 3 | ✓ | 57%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | Hear it 9:47, Investment Grade | – |
| Tailwind | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 53%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | Hear it 10:46, Tailwind | – |
| Private Credit | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 81%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – | |
| Basel | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 68%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – | |
| Zero Hash | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 66%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – | |
| Private Market | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 64%transcripts from the transcript model | – | |
| Tokenized / Tokenization | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 49%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – | |
| Buyback | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 48%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – | |
| Headwind | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 40%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – | |
| Middle East / Iran | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 36%transcripts from the transcript model | – | |
| Tariff | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 31%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – | |
| Recession | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 29%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – | |
| Galaxy Digital | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 15%transcripts from the transcript model | – | |
| Oil | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 12%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsSpeaker-labelled transcript · Source and credits · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.
Where the listed words were said
…underwriting revenues were a record $788 million, driven by bond issuance across non-investment grade and investment-grade companies. Issuers took advantage of favorable spread environment and…
…activity extending across the region. Active markets and technology trends serve as tailwinds, and our multi-year investments in our global franchise allowed us to prosecute…
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/morgan-stanley:2026-07-15:earnings_call · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=morgan-stanley:2026-07-15:earnings_call · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP