Airbnb (ABNB): FY25 Q4 earnings call, Feb 12, 2026
On its Feb 12, 2026 earnings call (FY25 Q4), Airbnb said 5 of the 10 words Kalshi listed; Parrot’s count agreed with all 10 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.
UpdatedMarkets
10 words · 5 settled yes · our count agreed on 10 of 10- Kalshi: company speakers + operator
Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boutique | Yes | 6 | 6 | ✓ | 59%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| International | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | 68%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
| Take Rate | Yes | 2 | 4 | ✓ | 51%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
| Domestic | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 71%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
| Service Agent | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 71%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
| Social Media | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 82%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
| Acquisition | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 46%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
| China | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 29%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
| Home Sharing | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 24%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
| Holiday | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 17%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsSpeaker-labelled transcript · Source and credits · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.
8 matches for “World Cup”; 5 quoted, at least 25 words apart.
…that same playbook for the biggest event on Earth, the 2026 FIFA World Cup across 16 cities in North America. At the same time, we're…
…year, including the Winter Olympics happening now in Milan and the FIFA World Cup coming this summer. Cities continue to look to Airbnb to help…
…expansion market services and perhaps any tailwinds from major events like the World Cup and Olympics? And are you anticipating any top line benefits from…
…experience or comfort perspective and how that might ripple through after the World Cup here in the United States. And Ellie, even at the low…
…Olympics and how it may -- what it might portend for the World Cup. The Paris Olympics was massive for our business, not just in…
Where the listed words were said
…from the very beginning. And to capture even more trips, we're bringing boutique and independent hotels onto the platform so that no matter what kind…
…half of all bookings on Airbnb. We also apply the Hawaii model international growth. Airbnb operates in nearly every country in the world, but roughly…
…larger percent of the overall business going forward. In terms of the take rate expansion in Q1 and what's going on with the, I would…
…begun focusing on. So in particular, what I would call out is domestic Japan. That's a market and segment that we began our expansion playbook…
…significantly more than 30% of tickets will be handled by a customer service agent in many more languages in all the languages where we have…
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/airbnb:2026-02-12:earnings_call · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=airbnb:2026-02-12:earnings_call · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP