Will Airbnb say “Domestic”?

Airbnb did not say “Domestic” on its Aug 6, 2026 call (FY26 Q2); it said it on 6 of its last 8 calls: 1, 1, 2, 1, 1, 1, 0, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Airbnb said “Domestic” at 2 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Nov 6, 2025 (40%), most recently on Feb 12, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 38% (n=5, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

38%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=5Next: Earnings call, Nov 5, 2026 · counts: company speakers + operator
Last 10
2/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no no no
Streak
not said the last 3 times
Counts
company speakers + operator
Market
46¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Airbnb

Domestic

Probability
38% · n=5
Settled
2/5 (40%)
Last calls
said in 6 of 8

Next listing counts: company speakers + operator

FY26 Q2 earnings call, Aug 6, 2026 · not said

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FY26 Q1 earnings call, May 7, 2026 · not said

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FY25 Q4 earnings call, Feb 12, 2026 · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator

1 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).

Ellie MertzcompanyqaIn transcript

…begun focusing on. So in particular, what I would call out is domestic Japan. That's a market and segment that we began our expansion playbook…

FY25 Q3 earnings call, Nov 6, 2025 · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator

1 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).

Ellie MertzcompanyqaIn transcript

…in particular, local marketing to make ourselves locally relevant, in particular for domestic stays. And hopefully, you saw from the investor letter, we are making…

FY25 Q2 earnings call, Aug 6, 2025 · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

Brian CheskycompanypreparedIn transcript

…more nights on Airbnb than they did in Q1, driven by more domestic travel and a 15% year-over-year increase in first-time bookers. We also announced…

FY25 Q1 earnings call, May 1, 2025 · said 2 times (counts)

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FY24 Q4 earnings call, Feb 13, 2025 · said 1 time (counts)

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FY24 Q3 earnings call, Nov 7, 2024 · said 1 time (counts)

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Every settled listing

newest first · 6 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Sep 8, 2026DomesticKalshiNo–
Aug 6, 2026DomesticPolymarketNo0
Aug 6, 2026DomesticKalshiNo0
May 7, 2026DomesticKalshiNo0
Feb 12, 2026DomesticKalshiYes1
Nov 6, 2025DomesticKalshiYes1

Questions

How many times did Airbnb say “Domestic” on its last earnings call?
Airbnb did not say “Domestic” on its Aug 6, 2026 call (FY26 Q2); it said it on 6 of its last 8 calls: 1, 1, 2, 1, 1, 1, 0, 0 times.
How often does Airbnb say “Domestic”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Airbnb said “Domestic” at 2 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Nov 6, 2025 (40%), most recently on Feb 12, 2026.
What is the probability Airbnb says “Domestic” next time?
38%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.

Cite parrot.markets, “Airbnb: ‘Domestic’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/ABNB/words/domestic (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=airbnb&word=domestic · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=airbnb&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP