Will Airbnb say “Social Media”?
Airbnb did not say “Social Media” on its Aug 6, 2026 call (FY26 Q2); it said it on 4 of its last 8 calls: 0, 2, 1, 8, 2, 0, 0, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Airbnb said “Social Media” at 1 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Nov 6, 2025 (20%), most recently on Nov 6, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 29% (n=5, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 1/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 4 times
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
- Market
- 49¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Airbnb
Social Media
- Probability
- 29% · n=5
- Settled
- 1/5 (20%)
- Last calls
- said in 4 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator
2 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).
…I think that's especially true for younger generations who grew up on social media are now surrounded by AI-generated content. So we think Airbnb is…
…Airbnb is going to be the go-to way to travel. And as social media is taking over for travel discovery, I think Airbnb homes are…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
8 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 7 in Q&A).
…and it generated more than 13,000 press stories and nearly 660 million social media impressions. After the launch, I traveled around the world to amplify…
…even had Airbnb experiences. The launch generated over 13,000 articles, 660 million social media impressions. We've also seen increased visibility of our product through our…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
1 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).
…population is younger in these markets, they're more likely to be on social media, and therefore, also less predisposed to staying in hotels. And there's…
Every settled listing
newest first · 6 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 8, 2026 | Social Media |  Kalshi | No | – |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Social Media |  Polymarket | No | 0 |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Social Media | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| May 7, 2026 | Social Media | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Social Media | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Nov 6, 2025 | Social Media | Kalshi | Yes | 2 |
Questions
- How many times did Airbnb say “Social Media” on its last earnings call?
- Airbnb did not say “Social Media” on its Aug 6, 2026 call (FY26 Q2); it said it on 4 of its last 8 calls: 0, 2, 1, 8, 2, 0, 0, 0 times.
- How often does Airbnb say “Social Media”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Airbnb said “Social Media” at 1 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Nov 6, 2025 (20%), most recently on Nov 6, 2025.
- What is the probability Airbnb says “Social Media” next time?
- 29%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “Airbnb: ‘Social Media’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/ABNB/words/social-media (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=airbnb&word=social%20media · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=airbnb&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP