Will Airbnb say “China”?
Airbnb did not say “China” on its Aug 6, 2026 call (FY26 Q2); it said it on 2 of its last 8 calls: 1, 0, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Airbnb did not say “China” at any of the 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Nov 6, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 15% (n=3, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 0/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 3 times
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Airbnb
China
- Probability
- 15% · n=3
- Settled
- 0/3 (0%)
- Last calls
- said in 2 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
1 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).
…Germany, Mexico, Brazil, and then the big four countries in Asia are China, India, Korea and Japan. And these markets are actually growing twice as…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
1 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).
…Asia, it’s the big four countries, which are Korea. Japan, India and China. I think this is what I've described as a medium-term horizon. And,…
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How many times did Airbnb say “China” on its last earnings call?
- Airbnb did not say “China” on its Aug 6, 2026 call (FY26 Q2); it said it on 2 of its last 8 calls: 1, 0, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0 times.
- How often does Airbnb say “China”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Airbnb did not say “China” at any of the 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Nov 6, 2025.
- What is the probability Airbnb says “China” next time?
- 15%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “Airbnb: ‘China’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/ABNB/words/china (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=airbnb&word=china · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=airbnb&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP