Face the Nation (CBS), February 1, 2026
On the Feb 1, 2026 episode of Face the Nation, 7 of the 11 words Kalshi listed were said; Parrot’s count agreed with all 11 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.
UpdatedMarkets
11 words · 7 settled yes · our count agreed on 11 of 11- Kalshi: named speaker only
Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delcy / Rodriguez | Yes | 4 | 7 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Election | Yes | 4 | 12 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Freedom | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Maduro | Yes | 2 | 5 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Trump | Yes | 1 | 23 | ✓ | 45%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Democracy / Democratic | Yes | 1 | 2 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Drug / Cartel | Yes | 1 | 2 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Marco / Rubio | No | 0 | 2 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Nobel | No | 0 | 4 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Opposition | No | 0 | 1 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Oil / Gas | No | 0 | 3 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 23:45 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsOfficial transcript · CBS News, Face the Nation transcript · Source · Quotes of at most 25 words; the full text is at the source.
1 match for “Opposition”; 1 quoted, at least 25 words apart.
…Anger at ICE persists across the country, plus our interview with Venezuelan opposition leader and Nobel Peace Prize winner Maria Corina Machado. After a whirlwind…
Where the listed words were said
…do not think that the pressure is being taken away. Actually, everything Delcy Rodriguez is currently doing is because she's complying with instructions she's getting…
Well, we had offered, since we won the election by a landslide, that we were willing to – to agree in the terms of a…
…country supporting him, because this is – this is a matter of freedom. I mean, this is a spiritual fight, an existential fight for Venezuela.…
…to go back to a country that's still under the power of Maduro regime and the cartel. That's not going to happen. But – but…
…Venezuelan people have voted and struggled and fight for, with huge cost and sacrifice, and what the United States government and President Trump also desires.
…but, most of all, where there is a future in freedom and democracy. So if we want those hundreds of thousands and millions of Venezuelans…
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