What is the probability “Drug / Cartel” is said on Face the Nation next time?

41%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.

Who has to say it for the market to count?

Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Will “Drug / Cartel” be said on Face the Nation next time?

Name: Face the Nation: “Drug / Cartel” mention history
Creator: parrot.markets
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

As of Oct 25, 2026, “Drug / Cartel” was said on Face the Nation in the only episode with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Feb 2, 2026.

–too little history for a probability (n=1)

Last 10: 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
Streak: said last time
Last said: Feb 1, 2026
Counts: named speaker only

Updated Oct 25, 2026, 21:23 UTC

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Face the Nation

Drug / Cartel

Probability: – · n=1 (too little history)
Settled: 1/1 (100%)

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Markwayne MullinotherFace the Nation (CBS), October 11, 2026 · Oct 11, 2026In transcript

…possession of stolen property, two felony charges of drugless – of dangerous drugs, and strong gang affiliation that – that has direct or indirect knowledge…

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.

MARGARET BRENNANhostFace the Nation (CBS), September 20, 2026 · Sep 20, 2026In transcript

…Friday again about vaccines, and he said he's going to demand that drug companies split up kids' vaccines into five doses. He said it will…

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.

Abdul El-SayedotherFace the Nation (CBS), September 13, 2026 · Sep 13, 2026In transcript

…it's going into the back pockets of CEOs of pharmaceutical companies and drug companies and insurance companies and big hospitals. That's where it's coming from.…

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.

What will Chris Wright say during Face the Nation? · not listed

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What will John Kennedy say during Face the Nation? · not listed

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What will Chris Wright say during Face the Nation? · not listed

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What will Richard Blumenthal say during Face the Nation? · not listed

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What will Tom Homan say during Face the Nation? · not listed

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What will Tom Homan say during Face the Nation? · not listed

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What will Jared Isaacman say during Face the Nation? · not listed

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What will Lindsey Graham say during Face the Nation? · not listed

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What will Chris Wright say during Face the Nation? · not listed

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What will Dr. Oz say during Face the Nation? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 1 shown

Every settled listing of this word, newest first
Date	Listed as	Venue	Result	Our count
Feb 2, 2026	Drug / Cartel	Kalshi	Yes	1

Questions

How often is “Drug / Cartel” said on Face the Nation?: As of Oct 25, 2026, “Drug / Cartel” was said on Face the Nation in the only episode with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Feb 2, 2026.
What is the probability “Drug / Cartel” is said on Face the Nation next time?: 41%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?: Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Face the Nation: ‘Drug / Cartel’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/face-the-nation/words/cartel-or-drug (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=face-the-nation&word=cartel%20%2F%20drug · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=face-the-nation&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP