María Corina Machado
As of Oct 27, 2026, Kalshi has settled 11 word markets on María Corina Machado’s appearances since 2026, on 11 different words.
History Wall
1–11 of 11, most settled first| Word | Feb 2latest | Last 1 | Settled | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drug / Cartel | 1 time: Drug / Cartel, Feb 2 episode, counts as said | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | – |
| Delcy / Rodriguez | 4 times: Delcy / Rodriguez, Feb 2 episode, counts as said | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | – |
| Democracy / Democratic | 1 time: Democracy / Democratic, Feb 2 episode, counts as said | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | – |
| Election | 4 times: Election, Feb 2 episode, counts as said | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | – |
| Freedom | 2 times: Freedom, Feb 2 episode, counts as said | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | – |
| Maduro | 2 times: Maduro, Feb 2 episode, counts as said | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | – |
| Trump | 1 time: Trump, Feb 2 episode, counts as said | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | – |
| Oil / Gas | 0 times: Oil / Gas, Feb 2 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| Marco / Rubio | 0 times: Marco / Rubio, Feb 2 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| Nobel | 0 times: Nobel, Feb 2 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| Opposition | 0 times: Opposition, Feb 2 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
- Y: settled yes (a number: our count)
- N: settled no
- not listed
- probability next time, with n
- Select a word or a cell for its quotes
What the columns mean
- Last N
- of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
- Settled
- every settled market of the word: said / listed
- Probability
- the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history
Appearances and settled record
latest 1Settled results come from the venues. Our own transcript counts appear here once transcripts arrive for these appearances. How we check.
| Date | Appearance | Text | Words | Settled | Our count agreed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2026 | EpisodeWhat will María Corina Machado say during Face the Nation? | Official transcript | 11 | 7 yes · 4 no | 11/11 (100%) |
Citeparrot.markets, “María Corina Machado: mention market word history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/world/maria-corina-machado (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/entity/maria-corina-machado · words: /api/v1/history?entity=maria-corina-machado · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP