Face the Nation (CBS), February 1, 2026
On the Feb 1, 2026 episode of Face the Nation, 7 of the 11 words Kalshi listed were said; Parrot’s count agreed with all 11 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.
UpdatedMarkets
11 words · 7 settled yes · our count agreed on 11 of 11- Kalshi: named speaker only
Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delcy / Rodriguez | Yes | 4 | 7 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Election | Yes | 4 | 12 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Freedom | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Maduro | Yes | 2 | 5 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Trump | Yes | 1 | 23 | ✓ | 45%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Democracy / Democratic | Yes | 1 | 2 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Drug / Cartel | Yes | 1 | 2 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Marco / Rubio | No | 0 | 2 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Nobel | No | 0 | 4 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Opposition | No | 0 | 1 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Oil / Gas | No | 0 | 3 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 23:45 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsOfficial transcript · CBS News, Face the Nation transcript · Source · Quotes of at most 25 words; the full text is at the source.
12 matches for “Election”; 5 quoted, at least 25 words apart.
…even as her own future remains murky, with the party she defeated in a nationwide election still holding power with the support of President Trump.
…meeting with lawmakers and Trump officials to urge support for another nationwide election. Her party won the last election, but was blocked by Maduro from…
Well, we had offered, since we won the election by a landslide, that we were willing to – to agree in the terms of a…
A transition that you hope involves a democratic election at some point. Did Secretary Rubio give you any kind of timeline for the American plans?
…knows the connection, the intimate connection we have, you know, the Venezuelan people and – and the leadership that won the election, the legitimate government.
Where the listed words were said
…do not think that the pressure is being taken away. Actually, everything Delcy Rodriguez is currently doing is because she's complying with instructions she's getting…
…the time comes. But it doesn't matter. That should be decided in elections by the Venezuelan people. I wasn't allowed to run in the last…
…country supporting him, because this is – this is a matter of freedom. I mean, this is a spiritual fight, an existential fight for Venezuela.…
…to go back to a country that's still under the power of Maduro regime and the cartel. That's not going to happen. But – but…
…but, most of all, where there is a future in freedom and democracy. So if we want those hundreds of thousands and millions of Venezuelans…
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