Micron (MU): FY26 Q1 earnings call, Dec 17, 2025
On its Dec 17, 2025 earnings call (FY26 Q1), Micron said 1 of the 11 words Kalshi listed; Parrot’s count agreed with 5 of 11 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.
UpdatedMarkets
11 words · 1 settled yes · our count agreed on 5 of 11- Kalshi: company speakers + operator
Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | Yes | 11 | 11 | ✓ | 93%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| Smartphone | No | 5 | 5 | ✗ | 93%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
| Inventory | No | 4 | 4 | ✗ | 96%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
| New York | No | 4 | 4 | ✗ | 59%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| Automation | No | 2 | 2 | ✗ | 27%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| Tariff | No | 1 | 1 | ✗ | 73%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| Hyperscaler | No | 1 | 1 | ✗ | 16%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| Nvidia | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 72%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
| Taiwan | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 51%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| Gaming | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 21%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| Layoff | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 16%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsSpeaker-labelled transcript · Source and credits · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.
1 match for “HBM4E”; 1 quoted, at least 25 words apart.
…entire DRAM market in calendar 2024. We are excited about our customized HBM4E customer engagements, which offer further differentiation opportunities to us, and we continue…
Where the listed words were said
…cars to advanced medical diagnostics. With our technology leadership, differentiated product portfolio, strong operational execution, and solid balance sheet, Micron Technology, Inc. is…
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/micron:2025-12-17:earnings_call · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=micron:2025-12-17:earnings_call · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP