Will Micron say “Taiwan”?
Micron did not say “Taiwan” on its Sep 30, 2026 call (FY26 Q4); it said it on 2 of its last 8 calls: 0, 1, 0, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Micron did not say “Taiwan” on any of the 4 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Dec 17, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 13% (n=4, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 0/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 4 times
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Micron
Taiwan
- Probability
- 13% · n=4
- Settled
- 0/4 (0%)
- Last calls
- said in 2 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…which will complement our existing one gamma supply from our fabs in Taiwan. The time from receiving this tool to completing installation was a record…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…HBM manufacturing, including our Idaho fab, Singapore HBM advanced packaging facility and Taiwan DRAM test facility. Micron will remain disciplined with our overall equipment investments…
Every settled listing
newest first · 4 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How many times did Micron say “Taiwan” on its last earnings call?
- Micron did not say “Taiwan” on its Sep 30, 2026 call (FY26 Q4); it said it on 2 of its last 8 calls: 0, 1, 0, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0 times.
- How often does Micron say “Taiwan”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Micron did not say “Taiwan” on any of the 4 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Dec 17, 2025.
- What is the probability Micron says “Taiwan” next time?
- 13%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “Micron: ‘Taiwan’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/MU/words/taiwan (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=micron&word=taiwan · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=micron&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP