Will Micron say “Tariff”?

Micron did not say “Tariff” on its Sep 30, 2026 call (FY26 Q4); it said it on 4 of its last 8 calls: 0, 8, 6, 1, 1, 0, 0, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Micron did not say “Tariff” on any of the 4 calls with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Dec 17, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 21% (n=4, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

21%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=4counts: company speakers + operator
Last 10
0/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no
Streak
not said the last 4 times
Counts
company speakers + operator
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Micron

Tariff

Probability
21% · n=4
Settled
0/4 (0%)
Last calls
said in 4 of 8

Next listing counts: company speakers + operator

FY26 Q4 earnings call, Sep 30, 2026 · not said

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FY26 Q3 earnings call, Jun 24, 2026 · not said

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FY26 Q2 earnings call, Mar 18, 2026 · not said

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FY26 Q1 earnings call, Dec 17, 2025 · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator

1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

Mark MurphycompanypreparedIn transcript

…in fiscal 2026. Any impacts that may occur due to potential new tariffs are not included in our guidance. With all these factors in mind,…

FY25 Q4 earnings call, Sep 23, 2025 · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

Mark MurphycompanypreparedIn transcript

…in fiscal 2026. Any impacts that may occur due to potential new tariffs are not included in our guidance. With all these factors in mind,…

FY25 Q3 earnings call, Jun 25, 2025 · said 6 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

5 counted (3 in prepared remarks, 2 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.

Sanjay MehrotracompanypreparedIn transcript

…been healthy overall across end markets, and there may have been some tariff-related pull-ins by certain customers. Our customers continue to signal a constructive demand…

Mark J. MurphycompanypreparedIn transcript

…the global minimum tax. Any impacts that occur due to potential new tariffs are not included in our guidance. With all these factors in mind,…

Every match in the transcript

FY25 Q2 earnings call, Mar 20, 2025 · said 8 times (counts)

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FY25 Q1 earnings call, Dec 18, 2024 · not said

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Every settled listing

newest first · 5 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Sep 30, 2026TariffPolymarketNo0
Sep 30, 2026TariffKalshiNo0
Jun 24, 2026TariffKalshiNo0
Mar 18, 2026TariffKalshiNo0
Dec 17, 2025TariffKalshiNo1 ✗ (our count disagrees with the settlement)

Questions

How many times did Micron say “Tariff” on its last earnings call?
Micron did not say “Tariff” on its Sep 30, 2026 call (FY26 Q4); it said it on 4 of its last 8 calls: 0, 8, 6, 1, 1, 0, 0, 0 times.
How often does Micron say “Tariff”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Micron did not say “Tariff” on any of the 4 calls with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Dec 17, 2025.
What is the probability Micron says “Tariff” next time?
21%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.

Cite parrot.markets, “Micron: ‘Tariff’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/MU/words/tariff (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=micron&word=tariff · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=micron&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP