Will Micron say “Smartphone”?
Micron said “Smartphone” 1 time on its Sep 30, 2026 call (FY26 Q4), and on 7 of its last 8 calls: 1, 11, 9, 9, 5, 9, 0, 1 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Micron said “Smartphone” on 2 of 5 calls with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Mar 20, 2025 (40%), most recently on Sep 30, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 81% (n=5, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 2/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- anyone
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Micron
Smartphone
- Probability
- 81% · n=5
- Settled
- 2/5 (40%)
- Last calls
- said in 7 of 8
Next listing counts: anyone
Counts: anyone
1 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).
…that the premium segments of both client as well as the flagship smartphones do see robust demand for higher content, higher performance solutions. Those are…
Counts: company speakers + operator
8 counted (5 in prepared remarks, 3 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.
…of factors including DRAM and NAND supply constraints could cause PC and smartphone units to decline in the low double-digit percentage range. Over time, we…
…128GB configurations, ideal for using large language models on device. Likewise, in smartphones, OEMs have recently announced new flagship devices such as Samsung Galaxy S26…
Counts: company speakers + operator
5 counted (3 in prepared remarks, 2 in Q&A).
…1-gamma-based DDR5 and our G9-based PCIe Gen4 QLC SSDs. Turning to mobile, smartphone unit volumes in calendar 2025 are on track to grow in the…
…edge, delivering over 50% higher performance and improved power efficiency for flagship smartphones and AI PCs. Micron Technology, Inc. also sampled our 1-gamma LP5X 24-gigabit…
Every settled listing
newest first · 5 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 30, 2026 | Smartphone |  Polymarket | Yes | 1 |
| Jun 24, 2026 | Smartphone |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Mar 18, 2026 | Smartphone | Kalshi | No | 8 ✗ (our count disagrees with the settlement) |
| Dec 17, 2025 | Smartphone | Kalshi | No | 5 ✗ (our count disagrees with the settlement) |
| Mar 20, 2025 | Smartphone | Kalshi | Yes | 11 |
Questions
- How many times did Micron say “Smartphone” on its last earnings call?
- Micron said “Smartphone” 1 time on its Sep 30, 2026 call (FY26 Q4), and on 7 of its last 8 calls: 1, 11, 9, 9, 5, 9, 0, 1 times.
- How often does Micron say “Smartphone”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Micron said “Smartphone” on 2 of 5 calls with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Mar 20, 2025 (40%), most recently on Sep 30, 2026.
- What is the probability Micron says “Smartphone” next time?
- 81%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: anyone.
Cite parrot.markets, “Micron: ‘Smartphone’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/MU/words/smartphone (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=micron&word=smartphone · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=micron&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP