Will Micron say “New York”?

Micron did not say “New York” on its Sep 30, 2026 call (FY26 Q4); it said it on 4 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 2, 1, 4, 1, 0, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Micron did not say “New York” on any of the 4 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Dec 17, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 35% (n=4, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

35%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=4counts: company speakers + operator
Last 10
0/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no
Streak
not said the last 4 times
Counts
company speakers + operator
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Micron

New York

Probability
35% · n=4
Settled
0/4 (0%)
Last calls
said in 4 of 8

Next listing counts: company speakers + operator

FY26 Q4 earnings call, Sep 30, 2026 · not said

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FY26 Q3 earnings call, Jun 24, 2026 · not said

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FY26 Q2 earnings call, Mar 18, 2026 · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator

1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

Sanjay MehrotracompanypreparedIn transcript

…second Idaho fab. We broke ground on our first fab at the New York site, and initial ground preparation activities are ahead of plan. In…

FY26 Q1 earnings call, Dec 17, 2025 · said 4 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator

4 counted (3 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).

Sanjay MehrotracompanypreparedIn transcript

…2028. We are making good progress on securing necessary permits for our New York site and appreciate the partnership with the state of New York…

Sanjay MehrotracompanyqaIn transcript

…pleased with our plans for Idaho one, Idaho two, and, of course, New York as well. Of course, in the short term, very much focused…

Every match in the transcript

FY25 Q4 earnings call, Sep 23, 2025 · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

Sanjay MehrotracompanypreparedIn transcript

…second Idaho manufacturing fab, which will provide additional capacity beyond 2028. In New York, we have completed initial phases of our environmental impact study and…

FY25 Q3 earnings call, Jun 25, 2025 · said 2 times (counts)

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FY25 Q2 earnings call, Mar 20, 2025 · not said

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FY25 Q1 earnings call, Dec 18, 2024 · not said

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Every settled listing

newest first · 4 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Sep 30, 2026New YorkKalshiNo0
Jun 24, 2026New YorkKalshiNo0
Mar 18, 2026New YorkKalshiNo1 ✗ (our count disagrees with the settlement)
Dec 17, 2025New YorkKalshiNo4 ✗ (our count disagrees with the settlement)

Questions

How many times did Micron say “New York” on its last earnings call?
Micron did not say “New York” on its Sep 30, 2026 call (FY26 Q4); it said it on 4 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 2, 1, 4, 1, 0, 0 times.
How often does Micron say “New York”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Micron did not say “New York” on any of the 4 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Dec 17, 2025.
What is the probability Micron says “New York” next time?
35%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.

Cite parrot.markets, “Micron: ‘New York’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/MU/words/new-york (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=micron&word=new%20york · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=micron&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP