Micron (MU): FY26 Q1 earnings call, Dec 17, 2025
On its Dec 17, 2025 earnings call (FY26 Q1), Micron said 1 of the 11 words Kalshi listed; Parrot’s count agreed with 5 of 11 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.
UpdatedMarkets
11 words · 1 settled yes · our count agreed on 5 of 11- Kalshi: company speakers + operator
Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | Yes | 11 | 11 | ✓ | 93%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| Smartphone | No | 5 | 5 | ✗ | 93%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
| Inventory | No | 4 | 4 | ✗ | 96%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
| New York | No | 4 | 4 | ✗ | 59%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| Automation | No | 2 | 2 | ✗ | 27%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| Tariff | No | 1 | 1 | ✗ | 73%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| Hyperscaler | No | 1 | 1 | ✗ | 16%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| Nvidia | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 72%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
| Taiwan | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 51%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| Gaming | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 21%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| Layoff | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 16%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsSpeaker-labelled transcript · Source and credits · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.
10 matches for “CapEx”; 5 quoted, at least 25 words apart.
…all market segments. Micron Technology, Inc. plans to increase our fiscal 2026 CapEx to approximately $20 billion versus our prior estimate of $18 billion. This…
…continue to be responsive to the market environment and disciplined with our CapEx plans. I will now turn it over to Mark for our fiscal…
Thanks. And then, Mark, I want to ask you about CapEx. So you took it up to $20 billion net, but it still seems, I…
…I heard Sanjay's response to the first question, but I did not hear your response, Mark, to my question on CapEx and on capital intensity.
…up in fiscal '26. And, you know, a substantial part of that CapEx is to support DRAM and specifically HBM and the 1-gamma and 1-gamma…
Where the listed words were said
…cars to advanced medical diagnostics. With our technology leadership, differentiated product portfolio, strong operational execution, and solid balance sheet, Micron Technology, Inc. is…
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/micron:2025-12-17:earnings_call · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=micron:2025-12-17:earnings_call · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP