Airbnb (ABNB): FY25 Q3 earnings call, Nov 6, 2025

Thu, Nov 6Earnings callSpeaker-labelled transcriptAirbnb

On its Nov 6, 2025 earnings call (FY25 Q3), Airbnb said 4 of the 10 words Kalshi listed; Parrot’s count agreed with all 10 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.

Updated

Markets

10 words · 4 settled yes · our count agreed on 10 of 10

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, our count under the market rule, the count over every speaker, whether they agree, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultOur countAll speakersAgreesProbabilityMarket
Social Media Yes22✓76%transcripts from the transcript model–
Domestic Yes11✓62%transcripts from the transcript model–
Service Agent Yes11✓62%transcripts from the transcript model–
International Yes12✓51%transcripts from the transcript model–
Take Rate No00✓70%transcripts from the transcript model–
Acquisition No00✓63%transcripts from the transcript model–
China No00✓45%transcripts from the transcript model–
Home Sharing No00✓43%transcripts from the transcript model–
Rare Find No00✓26%transcripts from the transcript model–
Holiday No00✓23%transcripts from the transcript model–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

quotes of at most 25 words

Speaker-labelled transcript · Source and credits · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.

Where the listed words were said

Brian Cheskycompany“Social Media” · prepared

…I think that's especially true for younger generations who grew up on social media are now surrounded by AI-generated content. So we think Airbnb is…

Ellie Mertzcompany“Domestic” · qa

…in particular, local marketing to make ourselves locally relevant, in particular for domestic stays. And hopefully, you saw from the investor letter, we are making…

Brian Cheskycompany“Service Agent” · qa

…therefore, the issue types, customer service is really challenging, right? Oftentimes, customer service agent will hear an issue that they've never heard before because it's…

Brian Cheskycompany“International” · prepared

…better. Number two, we're bringing Airbnb to more parts of the world. International expansion is a multiyear strategy, but we're already off to a great…

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/airbnb:2025-11-06:earnings_call · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=airbnb:2025-11-06:earnings_call · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP