American Airlines (AAL): FY25 Q3 earnings call, Oct 23, 2025

On its Oct 23, 2025 earnings call (FY25 Q3), American Airlines said 7 of the 12 words Kalshi listed; Parrot’s count agreed with all 12 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.

Updated

Markets

12 words · 7 settled yes · our count agreed on 12 of 12

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, our count under the market rule, the count over every speaker, whether they agree, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultOur countAll speakersAgreesProbabilityMarket
Citi Yes1212✓86%transcripts from the transcript model–
Technology Yes22✓90%transcripts from the transcript model–
Holiday Yes24✓37%transcripts from the transcript model–
Lavazza Yes22✓16%transcripts from the transcript model–
Shutdown / Shut Down Yes24✓16%transcripts from the transcript model–
Record Yes11✓79%transcripts from the transcript model–
AT&T Yes11✓47%transcripts from the transcript model–
Weather No00✓65%transcripts from the transcript model–
Tariff No00✓54%transcripts from the transcript model–
ATC No00✓45%transcripts from the transcript model–
World Cup No00✓26%transcripts from the transcript model–
Centennial No00✓16%transcripts from the transcript model–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

quotes of at most 25 words

Speaker-labelled transcript · Source and credits · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.

Where the listed words were said

Robert Isomcompany“Citi” · prepared

…of our sales and revenue management initiatives, scaling our new agreement with Citi, restoring capacity in our hubs, and using consistent improvements in the customer…

Robert Isomcompany“Technology” · prepared

…maintained a resilient operation for our customers. Thanks to continued investments in technology, including the expansion of our Connect Assist platform, we've enhanced the connection…

Robert Isomcompany“Holiday” · qa

…those and putting those into service really gives us a capital spending holiday in terms of fleet replacement. So it's a win-win-win for our customers,…

Robert Isomcompany“Lavazza” · prepared

…to elevate the art of travel, like our new coffee partnership with Lavazza that aligns with our focus on refined offerings and exceptional service throughout…

Robert Isomcompany“Shutdown / Shut Down” · prepared

…to uphold the safety and security of our industry during the government shutdown. We're hopeful that action will be taken to reopen the government as…

Devon Maycompany“Record” · prepared

…progress on our commitment to deliver on our revenue potential. We produced record third quarter revenue of $13.7 billion, which was about 1% ahead of…

Robert Isomcompany“AT&T” · prepared

…keeping our customers connected while traveling. Thanks to our new sponsorship with AT&T, this amenity will be complementary for our AAdvantage members starting in January.…

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/american-airlines:2025-10-23:earnings_call · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=american-airlines:2025-10-23:earnings_call · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP