Will Vlad Tenev say “Economy / Economic”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Vlad Tenev did not say “Economy / Economic” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Dec 17, 2025.
Of the last 3 keynotes we have transcripts for (Dec 17, 2025 – Sep 29, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Vlad Tenev
Economy / Economic
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 3 keynotes
- said in 0 of 3
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
a cut. We can take a hit on the economics for each one knowing that in aggregate the relationship and the average revenue per user…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2025 | Economy / Economic |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
Questions
- How often does Vlad Tenev say “Economy / Economic”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Vlad Tenev did not say “Economy / Economic” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Dec 17, 2025.
- What is the probability Vlad Tenev says “Economy / Economic” next time?
- 14%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Vlad Tenev: ‘Economy / Economic’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/business/vlad-tenev/words/economic-or-economy (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=vlad-tenev&word=economic%20%2F%20economy · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=vlad-tenev&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP