Will Sam Altman say “Sora”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Sam Altman said “Sora” at 1 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Oct 11, 2025 (33%), most recently on Oct 11, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 15% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 2 transcripts we have, of any kind (1 episode, 1 keynote; Jul 22, 2025 – Oct 10, 2025), since fewer than 2 interviews have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.
- Last 10
- 1/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Sam Altman
Sora
- Probability
- 15% · n=3
- Settled
- 1/3 (33%)
- Last 2 transcripts
- said in 1 of 2
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Counts: named speaker only
3 counted; 38 by speakers the rule does not count.
…are just not things that could have ever existed without something like Sora or wouldn't have been easy to make. And watching people build those…
…and it changes what happens as the movie plays out. Or with Sora, you're seeing this amazing new phenomenon where most users are creating in…
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How often does Sam Altman say “Sora”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Sam Altman said “Sora” at 1 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Oct 11, 2025 (33%), most recently on Oct 11, 2025.
- What is the probability Sam Altman says “Sora” next time?
- 15%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Sam Altman: ‘Sora’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/business/sam-altman/words/sora (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=sam-altman&word=sora · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=sam-altman&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP