Jamie Dimon: World Economic Forum Conversation, Jan 22, 2026
At the keynote on Jan 22, 2026, Jamie Dimon said 8 of the 12 words Kalshi listed; Parrot’s count agreed with all 12 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.
Part of Wef conversation (2 appearances).
UpdatedMarkets
12 words · 8 settled yes · our count agreed on 12 of 12- Kalshi: named speaker only
Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump | Yes | 10 | 15 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | Yes | 7 | 12 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Tariff | Yes | 7 | 12 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Inflation | Yes | 6 | 6 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| China | Yes | 4 | 8 | ✓ | 84%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| National Security | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Regulation / Regulatory | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Bubble / Innovation | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 49%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Energy / Nuclear | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Private Credit / Private Equity | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Gold | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 23:45 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsCaptions · machine-attributed · World Economic Forum (YouTube) · Source · Quotes of at most 25 words; the full recording is on the publisher's official channel.
8 matches for “China”; 4 quoted, at least 25 words apart.
I I think that's a real stretch. You know, China has a $15,000 per person GDP. Ours is 85. We the most dynamic economy and…
…uh uh Japan Australia Philippines they're all rearming on their own that's China's actions caused that not America's you actions. We we we're part of…
…the long run for America. like you know Carney was just in China and now he's going to go to India and all these things…
…places blown out of proportion but you know if you are subsidizing China in this case or anyone you know subsidizing their cars their batteries…
Where the listed words were said
…know, to me, it's important to understand that, you know, originally during Trump won, people, oh, we're looking to leave. No, we didn't. you know,…
So we don't look at AI that different than technology. Technology has always been the thing that changes everything we all do. That's been true…
you know, trade and tariffs are part of that, but not the only part of that. So, I still think that's the best thing to…
to me. What happens if inflation goes up? They raise interest rates. What happens if inflation goes down? They reduce interest rates. They are a…
…parts to trade. Okay. And some require tariffs. Okay. One part is national security. We should do what we have to do to create national…
…Fed. One is monetary that needs to be independent. The other is regulatory. Huge overreach. That's not independent. That's law. And and so let me…
…integrated and so complex and it's hard to always tell but the innovation is unbelievable. you take a trip to Silicon Valley and look at…
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