Will King Charles III say “NATO”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, King Charles III said “NATO” at 3 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Apr 28, 2026 (100%), most recently on May 13, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 58% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 3/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 3 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
King Charles III
NATO
- Probability
- 58% · n=3
- Settled
- 3/3 (100%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have transcripts for King Charles III yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 4 shown
Kalshi
PolymarketQuestions
- How often does King Charles III say “NATO”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, King Charles III said “NATO” at 3 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Apr 28, 2026 (100%), most recently on May 13, 2026.
- What is the probability King Charles III says “NATO” next time?
- 58%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “King Charles III: ‘NATO’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/world/king-charles-iii/words/nato (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=king-charles-iii&word=nato · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=king-charles-iii&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP