King Charles III: Speech, Apr 28, 2026
Kalshi What will King Charles III say during his US Address?
Markets
25 words · 14 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| 250 | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| NATO | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Queen | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Ukraine | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| 1776 | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Democracy | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Founding Father | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Lincoln | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Peace | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Revolution / Revolutionary | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| UN / United Nations | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| World War | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trump | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Ballroom | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Churchill | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Climate | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Correspondents / Assasination | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Epstein | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| God Bless America | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Iran / Iranian | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Oil | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Russia / Russian | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Special Relationship | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| White House | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXKINGMENTION-26APR28C · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP