King Charles III: Speech, Dec 26, 2025
Kalshi What will King Charles III say during his Christmas speech?
Markets
9 words · 2 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Commonwealth | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Conflict | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Elizabeth | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Immigrant / Immigration | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Jesus Christ | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Middle East | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Racism / Racist | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Santa | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trump | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXKINGMENTION-25DEC26 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP