King Charles III: Remarks, Apr 28, 2026
Kalshi What will King Charles III say during his White House Dinner?
Polymarket What will King Charles say during the joint meeting of Congress on April 28?
Markets
40 words · 26 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| 250 | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| 250 / 250th | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| American / America 15+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Anniversary | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Churchill | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Colony | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Crown / Prince | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Democracy | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| George / Washington | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Historic / History / Historical | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Honor | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Independence | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| King / Kingdom | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Mother / Mama | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| NATO | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Parliament | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Peace | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Revolution / Revolutionary | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Russia / Russian | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Ukraine | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| War | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| White House | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| World War | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Queen / Elizabeth | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Trump | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| 1776 | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Ballroom | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Climate | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Correspondents / Assassination | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Epstein | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Founding Father | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Freedom 5+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| God Bless America | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Iran / Iranian | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Lincoln | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Oil | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Queen | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Special Relationship | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| UN / United Nation | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXKINGMENTION-26APR28B · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP