Will Keir Starmer say “Ukraine”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Keir Starmer said “Ukraine” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Jun 24, 2026.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (8 PMQs; Apr 22, 2026 – Jul 15, 2026), since fewer than 2 press conferences have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 5.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Keir Starmer
Ukraine
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 5 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (8 PMQs); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…last Friday. I thank the right hon. Lady for her comments about Ukraine. We have stood united on Ukraine in this House. We supported the…
…five major trade deals, led the coalition of the willing to support Ukraine, strengthened the NATO alliance, built stronger partnerships with the EU and kept…
…17 years, more rights for workers, more rights for renters, standing with Ukraine, Britain’s reputation restored, and half a million children being lifted out of…
…the Leader of the Opposition that in relation to both Iran and Ukraine, we are facing a more volatile world than at any time during…
…this importance, which is about further sanctions on Russia in relation to Ukraine, it is really important that the position is not misrepresented. This is…
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 24, 2026 | Ukraine |  Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Keir Starmer say “Ukraine”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Keir Starmer said “Ukraine” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Jun 24, 2026.
- What is the probability Keir Starmer says “Ukraine” next time?
- 42%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Keir Starmer: ‘Ukraine’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/world/keir-starmer/words/ukraine (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=keir-starmer&word=ukraine · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=keir-starmer&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP