Will Keir Starmer say “Resign / Resigned / Resignation”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Keir Starmer did not say “Resign / Resigned / Resignation” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Jun 24, 2026.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (8 PMQs; Apr 22, 2026 – Jul 15, 2026), since fewer than 2 press conferences have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Keir Starmer
Resign / Resigned / Resignation
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (8 PMQs); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…Defence Secretary, the right hon. Member for Rawmarsh and Conisbrough (John Healey), resigned saying, “I am being forced to make decisions that would…increase the risk…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…that everything was under control. The very next day, the Defence Secretary resigned, saying the Prime Minister was “unable” and the Treasury “unwilling” to fund…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…his own trade union members and his own, very quiet, Back Benchers. When will he do the right thing? When will this Prime Minister resign?
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…constituents would be knocking on my door and calling for me to resign. Does the Prime Minister agree that the elections Bill must ensure that…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…the Prime Minister not recognise that the best thing that he can do to restore trust and integrity is to take true responsibility and resign?
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 24, 2026 | Resign / Resigned / Resignation |  Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often does Keir Starmer say “Resign / Resigned / Resignation”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Keir Starmer did not say “Resign / Resigned / Resignation” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Jun 24, 2026.
- What is the probability Keir Starmer says “Resign / Resigned / Resignation” next time?
- 26%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Keir Starmer: ‘Resign / Resigned / Resignation’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/world/keir-starmer/words/resign-or-resignation-or-resigned (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=keir-starmer&word=resign%20%2F%20resignation%20%2F%20resigned · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=keir-starmer&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP