Will Keir Starmer say “Iran / Iranian”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Keir Starmer did not say “Iran / Iranian” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Jun 24, 2026.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (8 PMQs; Apr 22, 2026 – Jul 15, 2026), since fewer than 2 press conferences have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 5.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Keir Starmer
Iran / Iranian
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 5 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (8 PMQs); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…armed forces are not sucked into an aimless and dangerous war with Iran could—in fact, I believe they will—prove to be his most important legacy.…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…partnerships with the EU and kept us out of the war in Iran. I thank my hon. Friend for the contribution that she made as…
…agree with the Leader of the Opposition that in relation to both Iran and Ukraine, we are facing a more volatile world than at any…
…Revolutionary Guard Corps? Will he take action to close down the 13 Iran-sponsored charities in this country that spread antisemitism? Will he also take action…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…international conflict. We saw it with Ukraine and we saw it with Iran, and people were fed up with the last Government not taking control…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 24, 2026 | Iran / Iranian |  Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often does Keir Starmer say “Iran / Iranian”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Keir Starmer did not say “Iran / Iranian” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Jun 24, 2026.
- What is the probability Keir Starmer says “Iran / Iranian” next time?
- 26%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Keir Starmer: ‘Iran / Iranian’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/world/keir-starmer/words/iran-or-iranian (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=keir-starmer&word=iran%20%2F%20iranian · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=keir-starmer&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP