Will Donald Trump say “Transgender” 3+ times?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Donald Trump said “Transgender” 3+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Sep 10, 2026.
Of the last 6 speeches we have transcripts for (Jul 16, 2026 – Sep 22, 2026), it reached the market's count (3+, named speaker only) in 3.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Transgender 3+ times
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 6 speeches
- said in 3 of 6
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…win will be all this junk. Open borders, men and women sports, transgender for everybody. It's all going to be put right back in. As…
…inclusion policies throughout the federal government. We got critical race theory and transgender insanity out of our schools. And we made English the official language…
…sponsor of a bill to let schools turn children, all of them transgender if they want, without parental without parental consent. I would say she's…
…with that record. Turk voted to allow schools to turn your children transgender without informing the parents and with no parental consent. I didn't even…
…in the entire country. It would be a disaster. She's a fanatical transgender activist. How the hell do you run in South Carolina? Am I…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 10, 2026 | Transgender 3+ times |  Polymarket | Yes | 3 |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Transgender 3+ times”?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, Donald Trump said “Transgender” 3+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Sep 10, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Transgender 3+ times” next time?
- 49%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Transgender 3+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/transgender-3plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=transgender%20%283%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP