Will Donald Trump say “Third World”?
As of Oct 27, 2026, Donald Trump said “Third World” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jun 28, 2026.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (5 rallies, 3 remarks; Sep 27, 2026 – Oct 25, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 3. 3 later appearances without a transcript yet (since Oct 26, 2026) are not counted.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Last said
- Jun 26, 2026
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Third World
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 3 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (5 rallies, 3 remarks); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
do. But now Assaf wants to import millions and millions of anti-American third world migrants who see our civilization as nothing but a target to…
…direct threat to the radical left's effort to turn America into a third world country ruled by people who hate America. No, it's a scam,…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 28, 2026 | Third World |  Polymarket | Yes | 4 |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Third World”?
- As of Oct 27, 2026, Donald Trump said “Third World” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jun 28, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Third World” next time?
- 54%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Third World’ mention history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/third-world (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=third%20world · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP