Will Donald Trump say “Russia / Ukraine / Venezuela” 15+ times?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Russia / Ukraine / Venezuela” 15+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Dec 2, 2025.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 21, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (15+, named speaker only) in 1.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Russia / Ukraine / Venezuela 15+ times
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 1 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…that we're doing. I didn't promise. I didn't promise I didn't promise Venezuela. I didn't talk about we took over Venezuela. We have more oil…
…it is almost like a release. It's good. You know, we took Venezuela quickly. We're doing we're doing very well. You have no idea how…
…I think we're captured and brought to justice the outlaw dictator of Venezuela, Nicholas Maduro, who is now awaiting. And we won the war in…
…a wonderful man who, during the Biden administration, was taken hostage in Russia. They claimed things -- we won't get into that, but we thought…
…world. And we captured and brought to justice the outlaw dictator of Venezuela, Nicholas Maduro, who's now awaiting trial for lots of bad things. And…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2025 | Russia / Ukraine / Venezuela 15+ times |  Polymarket | No |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Russia / Ukraine / Venezuela 15+ times”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Russia / Ukraine / Venezuela” 15+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Dec 2, 2025.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Russia / Ukraine / Venezuela 15+ times” next time?
- 39%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Russia / Ukraine / Venezuela 15+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/russia-or-ukraine-or-venezuela-15plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=russia%20%2F%20ukraine%20%2F%20venezuela%20%2815%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP