Will Donald Trump say “Pennsylvania” 20+ times?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Pennsylvania” 20+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Nov 4, 2024.
Of the last 8 rallies we have transcripts for (Aug 24, 2026 – Oct 25, 2026), it reached the market's count (20+, named speaker only) in 0. 1 later rally without a transcript yet (Oct 26, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Pennsylvania 20+ times
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 8 rallies
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…Jersey on the beach. Well, in in Butler, we had 115. Butler, Pennsylvania. That was an interesting time. We had 115. No, we have the…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2024 | Pennsylvania 20+ times |  Polymarket | No |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Pennsylvania 20+ times”?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Pennsylvania” 20+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Nov 4, 2024.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Pennsylvania 20+ times” next time?
- 47%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Pennsylvania 20+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/pennsylvania-20plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=pennsylvania%20%2820%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP