Will Donald Trump say “Louisiana” 5+ times?
As of Oct 27, 2026, Donald Trump said “Louisiana” 5+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jun 25, 2026.
Of the last 8 rallies we have transcripts for (Aug 24, 2026 – Oct 25, 2026), it reached the market's count (5+, named speaker only) in 0. 3 later rallies without a transcript yet (since Oct 26, 2026) are not counted.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Louisiana 5+ times
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 8 rallies
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…You just got to ask. You know, I saw one case in Louisiana where they were really fighting. They were fighting like crazy. And then…
…data centers are going to be so popular. They had one in Louisiana, and the people didn't like it until they announced that they're going…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 25, 2026 | Louisiana 5+ times |  Polymarket | Yes | 8 |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Louisiana 5+ times”?
- As of Oct 27, 2026, Donald Trump said “Louisiana” 5+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jun 25, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Louisiana 5+ times” next time?
- 52%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Louisiana 5+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/louisiana-5plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=louisiana%20%285%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP