Will Donald Trump say “Midnight / Hammer”?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Midnight / Hammer” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jul 3, 2025.
Of the last 6 speeches we have transcripts for (Jul 16, 2026 – Sep 22, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Midnight / Hammer
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 6 speeches
- said in 1 of 6
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…It was the worst agreement and the most dangerous agreement I've ever seen. And we obliterated Iran's nuclear enrichment capacity with Operation Midnight Hammer and
…just in time. And we obliterated Iran's nuclear enrichment capacity with Operation Midnight Hammer and Operation Epic Fury. We defeated them militarily, financially and otherwise.…
…to go and beat an innocent mother on the head with a hammer, bludgeoning her to death. She died also. And that is who David…
…of terror Iran so we obliterated Iran's nuclear enrichment capacity with operation midnight hammer and operation epic fuel Thank you. Thank you. Beautiful. And we…
…to a nuclear weapon. We obliterated Iran's nuclear enrichment capacity with Operation Midnight Hammer, a beautiful operation, and Operation Epic Fury. And we defeated them…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 3, 2025 | Midnight / Hammer |  Polymarket | No |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Midnight / Hammer”?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Midnight / Hammer” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jul 3, 2025.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Midnight / Hammer” next time?
- 40%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Midnight / Hammer’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/hammer-or-midnight (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=hammer%20%2F%20midnight · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP