Will Donald Trump say “Greenland” 3+ times?
As of Oct 27, 2026, Donald Trump said “Greenland” 3+ times at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Sep 22, 2026.
Of the last 6 speeches we have transcripts for (Jul 16, 2026 – Sep 22, 2026), it reached the market's count (3+, named speaker only) in 1.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Greenland (3+ times)
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 6 speeches
- said in 1 of 6
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…with a lot of leaders. Oh, and you know, we did get Greenland. You do know that. Remember when it was worse? How dare he…
…You know, by the way, Denmark was so great they gave us Greenland. You do know that. You don't read about it. We're working with…
…well. I made the I made and I don't forget I got Greenland. Remember they said, "Oh, how ridiculous." Remember, look at my senators. They…
…and they said, no. But they were nice enough to give us Greenland, despite all the bad talk. Oh, he's not going to get it.…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2026 | Greenland (3+ times) |  Kalshi | Yes | 0 ✗ (our count disagrees with the settlement) |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Greenland (3+ times)”?
- As of Oct 27, 2026, Donald Trump said “Greenland” 3+ times at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Sep 22, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Greenland (3+ times)” next time?
- 55%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Greenland (3+ times)’ mention history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/greenland-3plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=greenland%20%283%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP