Will Donald Trump say “IQ / Genius”?
As of Oct 27, 2026, Donald Trump said “IQ / Genius” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Jul 24, 2026.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
IQ / Genius
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…so much. They all have a Mercedes Benz. Can you believe low IQ and they live better than you do? That's I don't know what's…
…to put it mildly. They gave people with a very high 188 IQ and they said, "Please pick the real Dan Sullivan." And they were…
…me, I suspect. But there's nothing wrong. Isn't that amazing? No, they're genius. They're genius. They have a situation today. I shouldn't talk about it,…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 24, 2026 | IQ / Genius |  Kalshi | Yes | 3 |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “IQ / Genius”?
- As of Oct 27, 2026, Donald Trump said “IQ / Genius” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Jul 24, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “IQ / Genius” next time?
- 48%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘IQ / Genius’ mention history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/genius-or-iq (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=genius%20%2F%20iq · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP