Will Donald Trump say “Gaza / Israel” 12+ times?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Donald Trump said “Gaza / Israel” 12+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Dec 29, 2025.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (12+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Gaza / Israel 12+ times
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…slaughter of the innocent men, women, and babies on October 7th in Israel. October one of the worst slaughters because of my position. I got…
…I don't think so. Abraham Lincoln, I met a young man from Israel. I said, "Who's your favorite president?" He said, "Abraham Lincoln." I said,…
On Israel/Iran, can you fill us in on what Secretary Hegseth spoke about with Prime Minister Netanyahu?
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2025 | Gaza / Israel 12+ times |  Polymarket | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Gaza / Israel 12+ times”?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, Donald Trump said “Gaza / Israel” 12+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Dec 29, 2025.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Gaza / Israel 12+ times” next time?
- 41%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Gaza / Israel 12+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/gaza-or-israel-12plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=gaza%20%2F%20israel%20%2812%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP