Will Donald Trump say “Good Friend of Mine / Friend of Mine”?

As of Oct 27, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Good Friend of Mine / Friend of Mine” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Mar 4, 2026.

Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 24, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2.

–too little history for a probability (n=1)
Last 10
0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
Streak
not said last time
Counts
named speaker only
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Donald Trump

Good Friend of Mine / Friend of Mine

Probability
– · n=1 (too little history)
Settled
0/1 (0%)
Last 8 remarks
said in 2 of 8

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Donald TrumpspeakerDonald Trump: Midterm Rally in Georgia · Oct 24, 2026 · 5:34In transcript

…the United States Senate. And we're going to elect a great friend of mine, Rick Jackson, as your next governor. Thank you. We're going to…

Donald TrumpspeakerDonald Trump: Midterm Rally in Florida · Oct 23, 2026 · 1:00:28In transcript

…Very crooked elections. But if you call New Mexico. So a friend of mine lives there and he says every time he goes on a…

Donald TrumpspeakerDonald Trump: Midterm Rally in Iowa · Oct 22, 2026 · 1:18:34In transcript

…replacing somebody who's been a fantastic friend. Joanie, thank you very much. You've been a fantastic friend of mine. So, Ashley, come on up, please.

Donald TrumpspeakerDonald Trump: Announcement · Oct 20, 2026 · 1:10:19In transcript

…they did in France. And I told President Macron, who's a friend of mine -- I have known him right from the beginning. Right after…

What will Trump say during his rally in Corinth, Mississippi? · not listed

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What will Trump say this week? (October 19 - October 25) · not listed

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What will Trump post this week? (October 19 - October 25) · not listed

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What will Trump say this week? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in Michigan? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in Georgia? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in Florida? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in Iowa? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his roundtable? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in South Carolina? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 1 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Mar 4, 2026Good Friend of Mine / Friend of MinePolymarketNo

Questions

How often does Donald Trump say “Good Friend of Mine / Friend of Mine”?
As of Oct 27, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Good Friend of Mine / Friend of Mine” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Mar 4, 2026.
What is the probability Donald Trump says “Good Friend of Mine / Friend of Mine” next time?
38%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Good Friend of Mine / Friend of Mine’ mention history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/friend-of-mine-or-good-friend-of-mine (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=friend%20of%20mine%20%2F%20good%20friend%20of%20mine · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP