Will Donald Trump say “Flint / Michigan”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Donald Trump said “Flint / Michigan” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Oct 14, 2026.
Of the last 8 rallies we have transcripts for (Aug 24, 2026 – Oct 25, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 3.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Flint / Michigan
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 8 rallies
- said in 3 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…up? Well, thank you very much and a very special hello to Michigan. This is This is a great place and boy am I bringing…
…a totally It's the most of all false. Although the guy in Michigan's pretty bad, too, I must say. Muhammad, as I call him. Actually,…
…Senate, which is between How about the gentleman from a place called Michigan? He's in there. Jihadist. He's a jihadist. Muslim Brotherhood. Are you a…
…of a couple of states have made statements. But the Senator from Michigan made a statement yesterday that was amazing, where they want to frighten…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | Flint / Michigan |  Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Flint / Michigan”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Donald Trump said “Flint / Michigan” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Oct 14, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Flint / Michigan” next time?
- 56%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Flint / Michigan’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/flint-or-michigan (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=flint%20%2F%20michigan · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP