Will Donald Trump say “Crazy / Stupid”?
As of Oct 27, 2026, Donald Trump said “Crazy / Stupid” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Sep 18, 2026.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 24, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Crazy / Stupid
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 2 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…the Secret Service said you were leaving early and they were going crazy. He's leaving ahead of schedule. No, but I could because look, I…
…and the rest of their life they're screwed. It's horrible. It's so stupid. A lot of times I commute. I say, "Look, you know, they're…
So, I came in, I held a massive rally. It was crazy. And we ended up beating him. She won 52 to 48 in the…
…say about him is that he lies. But actually, I believe he's crazy. So now he's pledging to turn Florida into a sanctuary state so…
…idea." And then you know what they told me? It's not constitutional. In other words, a person who's stupid is allowed to run for office.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 2026 | Crazy / Stupid |  Polymarket | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Crazy / Stupid”?
- As of Oct 27, 2026, Donald Trump said “Crazy / Stupid” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Sep 18, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Crazy / Stupid” next time?
- 49%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Crazy / Stupid’ mention history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/crazy-or-stupid (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=crazy%20%2F%20stupid · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP