Will Donald Trump say “CDL / Commercial Driver's License”?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Donald Trump said “CDL / Commercial Driver's License” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market so far, on Jul 30, 2026.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
CDL / Commercial Driver's License
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 30, 2026 | CDL / Commercial Driver's License |  Polymarket | Yes | 5 |
| Jul 30, 2026 | CDL / Commercial Driver's License |  Kalshi | Yes | 5 |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “CDL / Commercial Driver's License”?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, Donald Trump said “CDL / Commercial Driver's License” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market so far, on Jul 30, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “CDL / Commercial Driver's License” next time?
- 46%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘CDL / Commercial Driver's License’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/cdl-or-commercial-drivers-license (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=cdl%20%2F%20commercial%20driver%27s%20license · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP