Will Donald Trump say “California / New York”?
As of Oct 27, 2026, Donald Trump said “California / New York” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Feb 12, 2026.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 3.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
California / New York
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 3 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…could say we could say that about a lot of blue cities. New York was hot as a pistol when I left. You know, when…
…to me. He said, "Sir, I want to thank you very much. New York's finest, a great guy, big strong guy." He said, "Sir, I…
…you see some of the things that we're finding in Minnesota and California, we have crooked politicians running the places, it really gets bad. Countless…
…yesterday. They were, but that's where they live. But they'll they're in California. They go all over the world. I don't know if their husbands…
…and she's a liar. Similar scams have been uncovered in Maine, in California, and many other mostly Democrat run states. And it's in Republican areas,…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2026 | California / New York |  Polymarket | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “California / New York”?
- As of Oct 27, 2026, Donald Trump said “California / New York” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Feb 12, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “California / New York” next time?
- 42%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘California / New York’ mention history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/california-or-new-york (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=california%20%2F%20new%20york · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP